COOKIE NOTICE

We use cookies for analytics, advertising and to improve our site. You agree to our use of cookies by closing this message box or continuing to use our site. To find out more, including how to change your settings, see our Cookie Policy

CBE’s Monetary Policy Committee keeps key interest rates in July meeting

The overnight deposit rate remained at 27.25%, the overnight lending rate at 28.25%, and the main operation rate at 27.75%. The discount rate was held steady at 27.75%

By: Business Today Egypt

Thu, Jul. 18, 2024

During its scheduled meeting on Thursday, the Central Bank of Egypt’s Monetary Policy Committee agreed to maintain current key interest rates, noting “the current monetary stance is appropriate to support the sustained moderation of inflation”.

The overnight deposit rate remained at 27.25%, the overnight lending rate at 28.25%, and the rate of the main operation at 27.75%. The discount rate was held steady at 27.75%.

Egypt's real GDP growth had slowed to 2.2% in Q1 2024, down from 2.3% in the previous quarter, according to the official release from the CBE. The decline reflected the impact on the services sector from ongoing geopolitical tensions and disruptions in maritime trade, it noted.

Leading indicators for the second quarter suggested continued economic lethargy, projecting a slowdown in GDP growth for FY2023/2024, recovering in the following fiscal year.

Meanwhile, the unemployment rate had improved marginally to 6.7% in Q1 2024 from 6.9% in Q4 2023.

Inflationary pressures in Egypt had shown signs of easing, with both headline and core inflation rates decreasing for the fourth consecutive month, the CBE highlighted.

In June, annual headline inflation stood at 27.5%, while core inflation was at 26.6%, with food inflation had dropping significantly to 31.9% in June from a peak of 73.6% in September 2023, indicating improved market dynamics.

Globally, the MPC noted a positive but moderated economic growth outlook, influenced by ongoing monetary policy tightening in advanced and emerging market economies.

This tightening had contributed to a decline in global inflation rates, prompting some central banks to adjust rates downwards recently, it explained, emphasizing that due to uncertainties over inflation trends and persistent risks, major central banks are expected to maintain a cautious stance on monetary policy.

Prices of key commodities like energy had decreased recently due to reduced global demand, geopolitical tensions continued to pose potential threats to commodity supply stability, it added.

According to an International Monetary Fund (IMF) released on Tuesday, global inflation was anticipated to ease to 5.9% in 2024, down from 6.7% in 2023, despite developing inflationary pressures and geopolitical tensions.

The IMF's report also revised Egypt's growth projections, expecting growth of 2.7% in FY2024/2025 and a slightly improved 4.1% in FY2025/2026, a downgrade from earlier projections of 3% and 4.4%, respectively. Globally, growth projections remained stable at 3.2% for 2024 and 3.3% for 2025.